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Red56
459022.7
706723.8
19545.6
Blue30
194214.1
71129.5
822312.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5936020801005630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.1
23.823.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End10.3
red by 9.7
1942
#16
14.10.1
14.214.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
Second
22.70.1
22.722.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End7.6
red by 10.2
8223
#15
12.40.1
12.512.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End4.4
Third
1954
#18
5.60.1
5.65.7
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.2
End3.5
blue by 3.9
7112
#13
9.50.1
9.69.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.4
End2.5