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Red60
459022.7
706723.8
19545.6
Blue74
598721.8
223014.6
616812.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554902040801006074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.1
23.423.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End10.3
red by 2.0
5987
#10
21.80.5
21.221.7
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End9.1
Second
22.70.1
22.322.4
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End7.6
red by 8.1
14.60.5
14.014.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Third
1954
#18
5.60.1
5.25.3
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.2
End3.5
blue by 6.4
6168
#20
12.00.5
11.512.0
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End4.7