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Red73
599013.3
598721.8
15809.7
Blue33
383518.3
321116.4
817512.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454630405060707333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#10
21.81.2
24.725.9
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End9.1
red by 3.5
3835
#19
18.30.7
13.512.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End4.5
Second
5990
#11
13.31.2
7.78.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End6.3
blue by 3.1
16.40.7
15.915.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End7.2
Third
1580
#23
9.71.2
10.211.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 2.5
8175
#17
12.10.7
13.813.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed