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Red14
194313.3
71129.5
59285.0
Blue27
44169.8
194214.1
223014.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26370102030405060701427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1943
#24
13.30.8
9.38.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End5.3
blue by 1.3
14.60.4
11.110.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Second
7112
#13
9.50.8
9.58.7
Auto4.6
Teleop2.4
End2.5
blue by 4.6
1942
#16
14.10.4
11.511.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
Third
5928
#26DQ
5.00.8
7.26.4
Auto1.6
Teleop1.4
End1.9
blue by 4.9
4416
#25
9.80.4
10.410.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed