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Red65
433817.2
555416.2
459022.7
Blue38
165718.9
62305.1
595118.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513902060801006538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.0
19.420.4
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End7.6
red by 3.7
18.90.0
16.416.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End9.8
Second
17.21.0
14.815.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End6.2
blue by 1.5
18.70.0
13.613.6
Auto7.0
Teleop6.9
End4.7
Third
5554
#14
16.21.0
11.812.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End5.6
red by 11.0
6230
#29
5.10.0
8.08.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsMissed