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Red33
474416.3
822312.4
43209.6
Blue59
15809.7
338819.3
706723.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33401020305060703359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4744
#12
16.30.0
14.714.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End6.5
blue by 7.5
23.81.5
15.416.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End10.3
Second
8223
#15
12.40.0
8.38.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End4.4
blue by 6.9
19.31.5
12.614.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End3.6
Third
4320
#21
9.60.0
9.39.3
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End4.1
blue by 0.1
1580
#23
9.71.5
8.710.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed