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Red32
44169.8
599013.3
474416.3
Blue18
43209.6
223014.6
62305.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393302060801003218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4744
#12
16.30.3
16.616.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End6.5
red by 1.7
14.61.2
12.611.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Second
5990
#11
13.30.3
10.710.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End6.3
red by 3.7
4320
#21
9.61.2
10.29.0
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End4.1
Third
4416
#25
9.80.3
8.78.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End2.3
red by 4.7
6230
#29
5.11.2
9.17.9
Auto2.1
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed