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Red28
616812.0
88435.2
194214.1
Blue56
563516.4
598721.8
433817.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28660204060801001202856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#16
14.10.5
12.812.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
blue by 7.7
5987
#10
21.80.1
25.024.9
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End9.1
Second
6168
#20
12.00.5
11.711.2
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End4.7
blue by 5.2
17.20.1
19.119.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End6.2
Third
8843
#28
5.20.5
6.66.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 11.2
16.40.1
13.113.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed94%Hangar oddsEarned