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Red48
46616.6
383518.3
71129.5
Blue54
459022.7
15809.7
321116.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2359040801004854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3835
#19
18.31.5
12.914.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End4.5
blue by 4.4
22.70.2
22.923.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End7.6
Second
7112
#13
9.51.5
10.011.4
Auto4.6
Teleop2.4
End2.5
blue by 6.9
16.40.2
17.317.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End7.2
Third
4661
#27
6.61.5
3.34.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.2
End1.5
blue by 3.1
1580
#23
9.70.2
10.710.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
4%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsEarned