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Red34
817512.1
433817.2
59285.0
Blue74
822312.4
563516.4
223014.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443802060803474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.4
19.018.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End6.2
red by 0.8
16.42.2
13.115.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End7.4
Second
8175
#17
12.10.4
14.213.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End3.6
blue by 2.5
14.62.2
11.413.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Third
5928
#26
5.00.4
7.47.0
Auto1.6
Teleop1.4
End1.9
blue by 7.5
8223
#15
12.42.2
12.214.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned4%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsEarned