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Red60
555416.2
46616.6
598721.8
Blue70
571514.9
706723.8
44169.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49460204060801006070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#10
21.80.9
24.925.9
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End9.1
blue by 2.0
23.81.5
21.923.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End10.3
Second
5554
#14
16.20.9
16.117.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End5.6
red by 1.3
5715
#22
14.91.5
13.615.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End4.6
Third
4661
#27
6.60.9
4.85.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.2
End1.5
blue by 3.2
4416
#25
9.81.5
8.59.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsEarned