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Red68
595120.3
458622.4
321118.8
Blue49
459016.4
561423.7
784534.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759502040601201401606849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
Unranked
22.40.3
25.825.5
Auto8.1
Teleop4.3
End9.9
blue by 12.2
7845
Unranked
34.62.8
32.129.3
Auto10.9
Teleop13.1
End10.6
Second
5951
Unranked
20.30.3
20.820.5
Auto8.9
Teleop6.9
End4.5
blue by 3.4
5614
Unranked
23.72.8
28.425.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.0
End3.3
Third
3211
Unranked
18.80.3
26.225.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End5.5
red by 2.4
4590
Unranked
16.42.8
26.223.4
Auto7.0
Teleop4.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsMissed77%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsMissed