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Red67
331624.6
555420.9
307537.9
Blue62
673819.7
598727.1
571530.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96752040601201401606762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
Unranked
37.91.4
36.234.8
Auto11.2
Teleop21.5
End5.3
red by 7.6
5715
Unranked
30.31.3
25.924.6
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End9.6
Second
3316
Unranked
24.61.4
28.627.2
Auto8.6
Teleop11.4
End4.6
blue by 2.6
5987
Unranked
27.11.3
29.428.1
Auto8.5
Teleop9.2
End9.5
Third
5554
Unranked
20.91.4
23.021.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End5.7
red by 1.2
6738
Unranked
19.71.3
18.116.8
Auto8.3
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsMissed87%Hangar oddsMissed