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Red130
157444.9
571530.3
561423.7
Blue72
703922.0
383518.0
784534.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10576020406012014016013072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
Unranked
44.92.1
43.445.5
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End11.5
red by 10.3
7845
Unranked
34.60.2
28.528.3
Auto10.9
Teleop13.1
End10.6
Second
5715
Unranked
30.32.1
25.227.2
Auto8.9
Teleop11.8
End9.6
red by 8.4
7039
Unranked
22.00.2
24.224.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.1
End4.0
Third
5614
Unranked
23.72.1
26.328.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.0
End3.3
red by 5.8
3835
Unranked
18.00.2
22.021.9
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsEarned