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Red76
513516.2
555420.9
474422.6
Blue90
263034.8
331624.6
817512.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5482020401001201407690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4744
Unranked
22.61.4
18.620.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End7.6
blue by 12.2
2630
Unranked
34.81.1
31.232.3
Auto11.2
Teleop18.7
End4.9
Second
5554
Unranked
20.91.4
19.621.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End5.7
blue by 3.7
3316
Unranked
24.61.1
27.728.8
Auto8.6
Teleop11.4
End4.6
Third
5135
Unranked
16.21.4
16.317.8
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End5.5
red by 3.8
8175
Unranked
12.41.1
14.515.6
Auto6.4
Teleop1.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed73%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsEarned