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Red47
595120.3
706724.0
817512.4
Blue105
433823.4
784534.6
555420.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58810204010012014047105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7067
Unranked
24.00.7
23.122.4
Auto8.5
Teleop6.5
End9.1
blue by 10.5
7845
Unranked
34.61.9
29.131.0
Auto10.9
Teleop13.1
End10.6
Second
5951
Unranked
20.30.7
19.719.0
Auto8.9
Teleop6.9
End4.5
blue by 3.1
4338
Unranked
23.41.9
22.424.2
Auto6.9
Teleop6.9
End9.6
Third
8175
Unranked
12.40.7
14.814.1
Auto6.4
Teleop1.2
End4.8
blue by 8.5
5554
Unranked
20.91.9
21.423.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsMissed90%Hangar oddsEarned