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Red50
307537.9
194311.7
616814.3
Blue72
157444.9
513516.2
308313.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648702040801001201401605072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
Unranked
37.91.4
35.334.0
Auto11.2
Teleop21.5
End5.3
blue by 7.0
1574
Unranked
44.91.0
46.245.2
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End11.5
Second
6168
Unranked
14.31.4
14.913.5
Auto6.0
Teleop2.9
End5.4
blue by 1.9
5135
Unranked
16.21.0
19.118.1
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End5.5
Third
1943
Unranked
11.71.4
12.411.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.8
End2.9
blue by 1.4
3083
Unranked
13.01.0
13.612.6
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed61%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed63%Hangar oddsEarned