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Red100
616814.3
513516.2
157757.1
Blue83
673819.7
561423.7
383518.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9866020408012014016010083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
Unranked
57.10.5
58.358.8
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End10.4
red by 33.4
5614
Unranked
23.70.6
26.026.6
Auto6.4
Teleop14.0
End3.3
Second
5135
Unranked
16.20.5
16.917.4
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End5.5
blue by 3.5
6738
Unranked
19.70.6
20.320.9
Auto8.3
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Third
6168
Unranked
14.30.5
13.013.5
Auto6.0
Teleop2.9
End5.4
blue by 3.6
3835
Unranked
18.00.6
19.420.1
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsEarned