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Red76
306525.6
223010.0
157444.9
Blue98
458622.4
474422.6
333945.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83962040601201401601807698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
Unranked
44.90.5
45.444.9
Auto10.9
Teleop22.4
End11.5
blue by 0.4
3339
Unranked
45.30.6
44.745.3
Auto12.2
Teleop25.4
End7.7
Second
3065
Unranked
25.60.5
24.524.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End8.2
red by 3.0
4744
Unranked
22.60.6
21.922.6
Auto6.1
Teleop8.8
End7.6
Third
2230
Unranked
10.00.5
9.79.1
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End2.4
blue by 12.4
4586
Unranked
22.40.6
21.922.5
Auto8.1
Teleop4.3
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsMissed55%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned