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Red33
561423.7
209617.1
321118.8
Blue49
513516.2
433823.4
673819.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7466020401001201401603349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
Unranked
23.72.9
26.623.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.0
End3.3
red by 0.3
4338
UnrankedDQ
23.41.2
24.623.4
Auto6.9
Teleop6.9
End9.6
Second
3211
Unranked
18.82.9
21.618.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End5.5
blue by 0.9
6738
Unranked
19.71.2
20.919.7
Auto8.3
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Third
2096
Unranked
17.12.9
20.017.1
Auto8.0
Teleop5.6
End3.5
red by 0.9
5135
Unranked
16.21.2
17.416.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsMissed