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Qual 212022 Heartland Regional
Red50
24573.4
501329.9
882521.8
Blue57
170632.9
51477.4
256011.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584520801001205057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#3
29.90.3
24.6→24.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End9.8
blue by 3.1
1706
#1
32.91.5
24.5→26.0
Auto10.8
Teleop18.2
End3.9
Second
8825
#9
21.80.3
20.6→20.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End13.0
red by 10.4
2560
#20
11.41.5
9.7→11.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End4.3
Third
2457
#26
3.40.3
7.4→7.1
Auto1.0
Teleop0.8
End1.6
blue by 4.0
5147
#17
7.41.5
9.2→10.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed