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Red81
182710.5
318430.4
198738.1
Blue48
176314.4
200111.8
512613.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7743020601001201408148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.11.4
31.933.3
Auto11.2
Teleop21.0
End5.9
red by 23.7
1763
#15
14.40.3
14.815.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End9.7
Second
30.41.4
22.824.2
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End11.0
red by 17.4
5126
#24
13.00.3
16.116.4
Auto6.5
Teleop4.1
End2.4
Third
1827
#12
10.51.4
13.414.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End3.2
blue by 1.3
2001
#21
11.80.3
14.014.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned