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Red39
639110.4
182710.5
51477.4
Blue12
51895.4
50989.7
24573.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46160102030405060703912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1827
#12
10.50.1
12.912.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End3.2
red by 0.8
5098
#25
9.70.8
9.89.0
Auto2.4
Teleop5.3
End2.1
Second
6391
#14
10.40.1
16.716.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End2.9
red by 5.0
5189
#28
5.40.8
4.63.8
Auto1.0
Teleop0.7
End3.7
Third
5147
#17
7.40.1
10.110.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End2.0
red by 4.0
2457
#26
3.40.8
4.63.8
Auto1.0
Teleop0.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed