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Red46
176314.4
476617.6
17754.5
Blue64
256011.4
318430.4
882521.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36672060801004664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4766
#10
17.60.9
15.015.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End3.7
blue by 12.8
30.40.6
25.526.1
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End11.0
Second
1763
#15
14.40.9
16.417.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End9.7
blue by 7.4
21.80.6
21.722.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End13.0
Third
1775
#27
4.50.8
6.57.4
Auto4.3
Teleop-0.7
End0.9
blue by 6.8
2560
#20
11.40.6
11.512.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned