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Qual 42022 Heartland Regional
Red67
639110.4
173030.9
501329.9
Blue41
476617.6
432917.5
51477.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402902060806741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#2
30.93.5
12.3→15.7
Auto5.2
Teleop20.3
End5.4
red by 13.3
4766
#10
17.611.7
21.3→9.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End3.7
Second
5013
#3
29.93.5
12.5→15.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End9.8
red by 12.4
4329
#11
17.51.4
11.3→12.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End5.5
Third
6391
#14
10.43.5
11.1→14.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End2.9
red by 3.0
5147
#17
7.41.4
9.0→10.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed