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Qual 52022 Heartland Regional
Red31
200111.8
93515.6
256011.4
Blue86
511921.1
176426.5
318430.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403302060801001201401603186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#16
15.61.5
10.6→9.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End5.1
blue by 14.9
3184
#4
30.46.0
10.9→16.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End11.0
Second
2001
#21
11.81.5
16.4→14.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.7
blue by 14.6
1764
#8
26.56.0
10.4→16.3
Auto11.0
Teleop7.0
End8.5
Third
2560
#20
11.41.5
9.8→8.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End4.3
blue by 9.8
5119
#7
21.16.0
11.0→17.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsEarned