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Qual 412022 Heartland Regional
Red45
93515.6
512613.0
511921.1
Blue66
432917.5
51477.4
318430.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50622040801004566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5119
#7
21.10.3
19.0→18.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End5.0
blue by 9.3
3184
#4
30.40.1
28.6→28.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End11.0
Second
935
#16
15.60.3
14.5→14.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End5.1
blue by 1.9
4329
#11
17.50.1
19.0→19.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End5.5
Third
5126
#24
13.00.3
15.0→14.7
Auto6.5
Teleop4.1
End2.4
red by 5.7
5147
#17
7.40.1
9.4→9.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed55%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsEarned