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Red97
501329.9
170632.9
50989.7
Blue83
198738.1
176426.5
51895.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707340506080901001109783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.93.0
31.434.3
Auto10.8
Teleop18.2
End3.9
blue by 5.2
38.10.6
39.540.1
Auto11.2
Teleop21.0
End5.9
Second
29.93.0
28.131.1
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End9.8
red by 3.4
26.50.6
25.926.5
Auto11.0
Teleop7.0
End8.5
Third
5098
#25
9.73.0
6.59.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.3
End2.1
red by 4.4
5189
#28
5.40.6
3.13.7
Auto1.0
Teleop0.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
73%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned