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Red54
173030.9
93515.6
318430.4
Blue66
48099.0
639110.4
170632.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444620304050607080905466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.9
15.716.7
Auto5.2
Teleop20.3
End5.4
blue by 2.0
32.90.4
19.019.3
Auto10.8
Teleop18.2
End3.9
Second
30.40.9
16.817.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End11.0
red by 20.0
6391
#14
10.40.4
14.615.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Third
935
#16
15.60.9
9.110.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End5.1
red by 6.6
4809
#18
9.00.4
9.19.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsEarned