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Qual 92022 Heartland Regional
Red42
51477.4
198738.1
256011.4
Blue51
511921.1
501329.9
182710.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43462060804251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#6
38.10.3
21.8→21.6
Auto11.2
Teleop21.0
End5.9
red by 8.3
5013
#3
29.90.9
15.9→16.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End9.8
Second
2560
#20
11.40.3
8.2→8.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End4.3
blue by 9.8
5119
#7
21.10.9
17.0→17.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End5.0
Third
5147
#17
7.40.3
10.4→10.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End2.0
blue by 3.2
1827
#12
10.50.9
10.0→10.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsMissed