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Red40
346813.8
586310.4
597110.9
Blue21
74289.3
59654.9
22217.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412201030506070804021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3468
#22
13.80.3
14.113.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End4.1
red by 4.5
7428
#39
9.30.5
9.89.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End3.0
Second
5971
#16
10.90.3
11.310.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End3.7
red by 3.3
2221
#30
7.60.5
8.27.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Third
5863
#31
10.40.3
10.710.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End5.2
red by 5.5
5965
#41
4.90.5
5.44.9
Auto1.2
Teleop1.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed