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Red59
360614.1
20807.1
408723.6
Blue47
20782.7
219015.6
142129.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4257020801005947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.9
22.323.2
Auto6.7
Teleop11.9
End5.0
blue by 5.5
29.10.3
31.030.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End11.3
Second
3606
#28
14.11.1
13.014.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 1.5
2190
#19
15.60.3
17.917.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Third
2080
#38
7.10.9
6.27.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End1.0
red by 4.5
2078
#33
2.70.4
3.12.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned48%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsMissed