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Red75
873218.7
361619.6
709417.2
Blue35
218313.5
181811.0
49788.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603102040801007535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#20
19.61.5
19.120.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.8
End5.6
red by 6.1
2183
#32
13.50.1
13.413.5
Auto5.3
Teleop3.8
End4.5
Second
8732
#21
18.71.5
18.219.7
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
red by 7.7
1818
#37
11.00.2
10.811.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Third
7094
#17
17.21.8
15.417.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End5.2
red by 8.3
4978
#27
8.90.2
8.78.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed