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Red28
99925.6
142127.6
433620.7
Blue26
99895.8
346813.0
709413.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6026040801001201402826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.7
24.823.1
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End10.4
red by 14.0
7094
#12
13.51.0
15.314.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Second
20.71.7
17.515.8
Auto7.4
Teleop6.9
End6.4
red by 7.6
13.01.0
9.98.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End3.1
Third
9992
#16
5.62.9
11.68.7
Auto4.0
Teleop0.6
End1.4
blue by 0.2
9989
#14
5.81.7
8.46.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed