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Red23
191211.3
99895.8
433620.7
Blue20
804425.8
709413.5
99988.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275104060801001201401602320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.6
15.815.1
Auto7.4
Teleop6.9
End6.4
blue by 5.1
25.81.9
25.523.6
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
Second
11.30.6
10.19.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.6
blue by 2.2
7094
#12
13.51.9
14.312.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Third
9989
#14
5.81.1
6.75.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 3.0
8.83.2
8.95.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed58%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed