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Red109
176829.5
59628.1
346743.0
Blue66
237032.2
17231.6
175736.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211005015020025010966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.0
43.043.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End13.2
red by 6.7
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Second
1768
#30
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.3
End7.6
blue by 2.7
2370
#15
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End11.4
Third
5962
#31
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 23.5
172
#26
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End10.6