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Red108
176829.5
490936.9
346743.0
Blue38
237032.2
242315.6
175736.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218505010015020025010838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.0
43.043.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End13.2
red by 6.7
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Second
4909
#29
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.7
End11.4
red by 4.7
2370
#15
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End11.4
Third
1768
#30
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.3
End7.6
red by 13.9
2423
#11
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End4.9