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Red87
568730.7
109919.3
242314.4
Blue67
767416.3
55639.9
9541.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597202040801001208767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.71.7
27.329.1
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End10.8
blue by 11.1
95
#4
41.80.1
41.341.3
Auto11.3
Teleop18.8
End11.7
Second
19.31.7
17.319.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End5.6
red by 3.0
7674
#18
16.30.1
16.616.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End6.5
Third
2423
#26
14.41.7
12.213.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End3.9
red by 4.5
5563
#34
9.90.1
8.28.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsMissed