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Red62
175713.1
147419.8
15114.0
Blue37
196510.8
6920.4
192214.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47530204060801006237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
#14
19.80.9
18.919.8
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End5.5
blue by 0.6
69
#9
20.40.9
21.820.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End9.5
Second
151
#15
14.00.9
13.114.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End5.0
blue by 0.9
1922
#16
14.90.8
15.514.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
1757
#24
13.11.0
12.613.6
Auto2.0
Teleop7.6
End3.5
red by 2.3
1965
#27
10.80.8
11.610.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsMissed