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Red45
55639.9
332314.8
620120.5
Blue57
6920.4
573523.0
500015.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32530204060804557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6201
#12
20.50.8
16.417.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.1
End9.8
blue by 2.5
5735
#10
23.00.7
21.221.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End6.5
Second
3323
#23
14.81.4
8.19.5
Auto2.4
Teleop6.7
End5.7
blue by 5.7
69
#9
20.41.1
13.314.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End9.5
Third
5563
#34
9.90.8
8.18.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.7
blue by 5.3
5000
#21
15.21.1
12.213.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsEarned