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Red43
176111.3
672311.1
287727.9
Blue41
109919.3
431117.1
862614.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573202040804341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#13
27.90.5
26.425.9
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End10.3
red by 8.6
19.30.5
13.914.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End5.6
Second
1761
#22
11.30.5
10.910.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.7
blue by 5.8
17.10.5
10.811.3
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End3.8
Third
6723
#35
11.10.5
13.012.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End3.5
blue by 3.9
8626
#17
14.90.8
8.99.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed