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Red48
77604.2
872426.3
81113.0
Blue45
15718.1
110019.0
511214.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414020305060704845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.7
23.424.1
Auto10.6
Teleop11.4
End4.4
red by 7.3
1100
#23
19.00.7
11.211.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.8
End3.7
Second
811
#21
13.00.7
8.39.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End5.8
blue by 5.2
157
#13
18.10.4
16.917.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End7.3
Third
7760
#37
4.21.2
5.97.1
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End2.4
blue by 9.7
5112
#24
14.00.4
11.011.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsMissed