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Red20
105819.8
673110.1
173512.9
Blue64
870918.1
346738.5
40348.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356602060801001202064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#29
19.81.1
14.413.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End7.2
blue by 18.7
38.50.1
36.936.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End14.5
Second
1735
#25
12.91.9
14.612.7
Auto5.1
Teleop2.9
End4.8
blue by 5.2
18.10.1
15.115.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End6.7
Third
6731
#31
10.11.9
7.96.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End4.7
red by 1.7
4034
#36
8.40.2
6.15.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed70%Hangar oddsEarned