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Red106
216843.5
23042.1
662013.2
Blue72
633317.9
346121.9
320515.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9537020608012014010672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.4
37.238.6
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End10.5
red by 21.6
3461
#17
21.91.7
18.119.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End7.6
Second
230
#1
42.11.4
32.634.0
Auto14.0
Teleop16.8
End11.3
red by 24.2
6333
#20
17.91.7
12.914.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End4.8
Third
6620
#30
13.21.4
11.713.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End4.1
blue by 1.9
3205
#32
15.12.9
10.913.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsEarned