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Red33
13821.6
77604.2
40348.4
Blue69
7825.6
271217.7
872426.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2382040601001201401603369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#14
21.60.0
18.018.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End11.3
blue by 4.8
26.30.3
26.426.1
Auto10.6
Teleop11.4
End4.4
Second
4034
#36
8.40.0
4.14.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.5
blue by 17.2
78
#7
25.60.3
26.926.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End7.7
Third
7760
#37
4.20.0
6.96.9
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End2.4
blue by 13.5
2712
#16
17.70.3
16.215.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned