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Red56
870918.1
662013.2
633317.9
Blue74
173512.9
115333.7
226223.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4281020601001201405674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.10.8
16.617.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End6.7
blue by 15.6
33.70.1
32.232.1
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End10.8
Second
6333
#20
17.90.8
15.316.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End4.8
blue by 6.0
2262
#11
23.90.1
23.823.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End12.4
Third
6620
#30
13.20.8
12.413.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End4.1
red by 0.3
1735
#25
12.90.1
15.115.0
Auto5.1
Teleop2.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned