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Red60
346121.9
511214.0
176827.9
Blue95
23042.1
346738.5
854417.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551101001506095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.1
26.126.2
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End8.3
blue by 14.3
230
#1
42.10.6
38.838.2
Auto14.0
Teleop16.8
End11.3
Second
3461
#17
21.90.1
18.618.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End7.6
blue by 16.6
38.50.6
36.636.0
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End14.5
Third
5112
#24
14.00.1
14.214.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End3.3
blue by 3.9
8544
#18
17.90.8
20.519.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed78%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned