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Red50
872426.3
404819.0
416914.4
Blue97
206723.6
216843.5
19014.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60922040801001201401605097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.7
26.726.0
Auto10.6
Teleop11.4
End4.4
blue by 17.1
43.50.2
43.944.1
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End10.5
Second
4048
#15
19.00.9
18.918.0
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End5.2
blue by 4.5
2067
#10
23.60.2
23.824.0
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End7.4
Third
4169
#28
14.40.7
14.413.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End10.9
red by 0.5
190
#27
14.00.2
14.414.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsMissed