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Red40
81113.0
173512.9
870918.1
Blue30
662013.2
542217.6
77604.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493802060801004030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.10.3
19.118.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End6.7
red by 0.5
5422
#26
17.60.8
18.617.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End7.7
Second
811
#21
13.00.3
12.011.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End5.8
blue by 0.2
6620
#30
13.20.8
12.511.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End4.1
Third
1735
#25
12.90.4
13.913.4
Auto5.1
Teleop2.9
End4.8
red by 8.6
7760
#37
4.20.9
6.15.2
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsEarned