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Red53
416914.4
673110.1
226223.9
Blue88
176827.9
115333.7
110019.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions448702060801001201405388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2262
#11
23.90.4
23.323.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End12.4
blue by 9.8
33.70.8
31.432.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End10.8
Second
4169
#28
14.40.4
13.814.2
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End10.9
blue by 13.4
27.90.8
26.627.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End8.3
Third
6731
#31
10.10.5
9.710.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End4.7
blue by 8.9
1100
#23
19.01.0
18.019.0
Auto6.5
Teleop8.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned